Burning Man shines again in Silicon Valley. This time around, however, the biggest tech companies aren’t celebrating.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite tumbled last week, dampening high hopes among investors that the sector will now return to its original activity after its worst first half in decades.
Last month, the Nasdaq posted a significant performance that continued through August. The index had its longest weekly winning streak since November, heading for a new bull market.
The high levels came after some upbeat inflation data released earlier this month reassured investors and calmed the stock market. The CPI rose 8.5% year-on-year in July, less than the 9.1% in June. This raised hopes among investors that the Federal Reserve would not increase its interest rate hikes further.
And now it appears that the central bank is not in line with investor expectations.
“Restoring price stability will likely require maintaining a restrictive policy stance for some time. The historical record cautions strongly against prematurely loosening policy,” Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated during the central bank’s annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday.
After the comments, markets were down. The Dow fell more than 1,000 points, or 3%, and the Nasdaq dropped 3.9%.
Due to the forecast performance of the technology sector, it is directly affected by changes in interest rates and inflation. When interest rates fall, the valuations of tech companies rise and become foamy as riskier investments are more attractive. Conversely, it is difficult to attract investors when interest rates rise.
Tech Companies Worry
Despite its recent comeback to bull levels, the Nasdaq has dropped around 23% year-to-date, and there are concerns that the more prolonged effect could negatively impact business.
Enterprise tech spending is beginning to collapse, and consumer-oriented hardware products are experiencing sales and prices enfeeble.
Furthermore, tech firms are beginning to lay off employees. Around 40,000 employees in the US tech sector have been cut in mass job redundancies thus far in 2022.
Firms dependent on consumer spending and ad revenue – including Amazon, Facebook, and Twitter – may be in a problem. However, it’s not all negative news, per Sameer Samana, senior global market strategist with the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.
He believes firms like Cisco and Microsoft that handle software, hardware, and semiconductors are worth purchasing.
“It’s a secular theme for us,” he stated. “Development in automation and the internet of things give these companies a long shelf life.”
The complicated part is that the “discretionary earnings shoe has yet to drop for tech,” he stated. As a result, consumers could withdraw spending as inflation continues to hit.
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